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Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 8:38 PM ET

LIVE EDGES
+14.1% EDGEThomas Saggese+1350
+13.3% EDGEThomas Saggese+392
+9.7% EDGEJoshua Báez+640
+8.6% EDGEJoshua Báez+650
+8.5% EDGEJoshua Báez+290
+7.4% EDGELeo Bernal+384
+6.9% EDGELazaro Montes+550
+6.7% EDGELeo Bernal+550
LIVE EDGES
+14.1% EDGEThomas Saggese+1350
+13.3% EDGEThomas Saggese+392
+9.7% EDGEJoshua Báez+640
+8.6% EDGEJoshua Báez+650
+8.5% EDGEJoshua Báez+290
+7.4% EDGELeo Bernal+384
+6.9% EDGELazaro Montes+550
+6.7% EDGELeo Bernal+550
Live MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA model  ·  Updated all day

Bet with the model, not the crowd.

2,500 simulations per MLB game, every morning — and a purpose-built model for every other sport we cover. Statcast power data, park factors, weather, snap counts, and live odds, turned into edges you can actually bet.

3 days free, then $39/month · cancel anytime

Live boardEvery hitter scored 0–100 for home-run potential, updated each morning after lineups drop. Fire alerts when a bat crosses 85.

Simple pricing

Every tool, or just football.

Monthly and annual include every MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA tool — no add-ons, no per-pick upsells. The Football Season Pass is one payment for NFL and college football only.

Most Popular
$39/mo
Billed monthly  ·  Cancel anytime
  • All MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA tools
  • HR Zone + Fire alerts
  • Prop Central + DFS Lab
  • Graded pick record
  • Cancel anytime
Free for 3 days, then $39/month. To confirm your card can cover it, we place a temporary $39 hold — this is not a charge, it is released right away, and it may show as pending on your statement for a day or two. Cancel anytime before the trial ends and you won’t be charged.
Save $118
$350/yr
Billed annually  ·  3 months of price relief vs monthly
  • All MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA tools
  • HR Zone + Fire alerts
  • Prop Central + DFS Lab
  • Graded pick record
  • Cancel anytime
$29.17/month equivalent. Lock the rate for a full season. Cancel anytime — access continues to the end of the paid year. No refunds.

Basketball Package

WNBA and NBA only. One price, 10 months. Not MLB, golf, NFL or college football. WNBA runs to the end of its playoffs in October, then its off-season. NBA is not on the site today — no NBA tab, no NBA data — and is being built to open with the NBA season on October 20, 2026.

$129$12.90 / mo · 10 months
Save $261 vs. 10 months of All Access
  • WNBA slate with live scores, and a per-game panel carrying betting, matchup and lineup tabs
  • Projected points, rebounds, assists, threes and PRA for the slate, sortable by stat and filterable by team, with a card per player
  • Player props across nine markets; the model's probability is shown on six, and the three combo lines are market-only because that model measured no signal at the line
  • Best posted price per prop with the other books beside it, and a drawer carrying odds history through the day and a last-10 hit-rate read

Billed $129 once. 10 months of WNBA and NBA access. Not a subscription — nothing renews. No refunds.

Football Season Pass

NFL and college football through the Super Bowl. One price, 6 months. Not MLB, WNBA, golf or NBA.

$99$16.50 / mo · 6 months
Save $135 vs. 6 months of All Access
  • NFL schedule, weekly game sims, and season stat browser
  • NFL player props, best bets, and DFS tools
  • College football: FBS team ratings and model vs. market on every FBS game

Billed $99 once. 6 months of NFL and college football access. Not a subscription — nothing renews. No refunds.

Golf Package

PGA Tour golf only. One price, 6 months. Not MLB, WNBA, NFL, college football or NBA. The Tour takes a winter off-season, so roughly five weeks of the term, from late November into early January, have no event to model.

$69$11.50 / mo · 6 months
Save $165 vs. 6 months of All Access
  • Projected leaderboard: per-round expected scores, model finish position, and win, top-10 and make-cut probabilities for the full field
  • Head-to-head win probabilities wherever a book posts the pair, plus a ranked board of tournament and round matchups
  • Model probability beside the posted price, and the same bet priced at the other books
  • Course-fit radar and hole-by-hole difficulty once round one is underway, and a DraftKings and FanDuel DFS board with a lineup optimizer once salaries post

Billed $69 once. 6 months of PGA Tour golf access. Not a subscription — nothing renews. No refunds.

Pay with crypto — save 25%

One-time payment. No subscription.

3 months
$87$29 / mo
Save $30

One-time payment of $87 in crypto. No free trial, no refunds. Full access starts immediately and ends after 3 months. Does not auto-renew.

6 months
$174$29 / mo
Save $60

One-time payment of $174 in crypto. No free trial, no refunds. Full access starts immediately and ends after 6 months. Does not auto-renew.

Questions

Everything you need to know

What sports are covered?
Mongoose Bets covers MLB baseball (2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game: props, game totals, moneylines, NRFI, and DFS), NFL (weekly game simulations, player props, a best-bets board, DFS, and a full season stat browser), college football (model vs. market on every FBS game, line shopping, and FBS team ratings), WNBA (game simulations, player props, and season stats), and PGA Tour golf (outrights, head-to-heads, and make-cut probability). Each sport runs on its own model, built for how that sport actually scores — we add one when we can model it properly, not to pad the list.
How often does the model update?
The full simulation suite runs every morning after lineups are posted (typically 6–7 AM ET). Prop odds refresh throughout the day, and the model re-scores edges as books move. Anything marked with a live dot reflects today's run.
What data powers the model?
MLB simulations draw on Statcast batted-ball data, park factors, historical pitcher/batter logs, live umpire assignments, and OpenWeatherMap forecasts. NFL simulations use play-by-play and Next Gen Stats, snap counts and depth charts, injury reports, and stadium weather. College football ratings are fit on drive- and play-level efficiency for every FBS team. WNBA simulations use play-by-play and player game logs. Golf simulations use DataGolf strokes-gained profiles and course-specific fit scores.
Is this a sportsbook?
No. Mongoose Bets is an analytics and research platform — we surface edges identified by the model, but we do not accept wagers of any kind. You place bets through your own sportsbook account.
Do you show losses?
Yes, every graded result — win, loss, or void — stays on the record permanently. The Fire Record you see on the site includes all 199 picks that crossed a 90+ Zone Score, stamped at closing odds. We do not remove losers.
Can I cancel anytime?
Absolutely, on monthly and annual. Cancel from your account settings in under 30 seconds — no confirmation emails, no phone calls, no retention flows. Your access continues until the end of the billing period you paid for. The Football Season Pass is a one-time payment rather than a subscription, so there is nothing to cancel and nothing renews — it simply runs its term.

Tonight's slate is already
simulated.

3 days free, then $39/month · cancel anytime